Paraná has the second highest rate of Covid-19 infection among the states
3 min readAlthough it concentrates 5.44% of Brazil’s population, over the past week Paraná has been responsible for 7.49% of the new cases of Covid-19 recorded across the country. There have been more than 100,000 diagnoses of the disease issued by the Paraná Department of Health (Sesa-PR), with the state continuing to be second among all federal units.
The survey, which takes into account data from state health departments, showed that between January 15 and 21, Brazil recorded a total of 831,877 new cases of Covid-19, with 104,134 diagnosed in Paraná. In the same period, 1,800 Brazilians died as a result of infection with the Corona virus, with 33 people from Parana dying.
When considering the infection rate of Covid-19, Paraná, with 897.9 records per 100,000 inhabitants, was surpassed only by Espírito Santo, which issued 55,139 diagnoses over a week, with a rate of 1,342.07 new cases per week. In absolute numbers, the states of Minas Gerais (133,412) and Rio de Janeiro (133,653) recorded more new cases of Covid-19 in the seven days analyzed.
Despite the high case rate, in terms of deaths, Paraná presented a lower case fatality rate than the national average. In the country, this rate was 0.84 logs per 100,000 inhabitants in the analyzed week, while in Paraná this value was 0.28. Only the states of Acre (which did not record deaths) and Sergibi (with six records in the past seven days and a rate of 0.26 per 100,000 inhabitants) had a lower death rate from the epidemic disease.
The rising moving average and the trend of deteriorating health
Given that Paraná added 104,134 new cases of Covid-19 in a 7-day period (between January 15 and 21), we have a scenario where the moving average case would be 14,876 diagnoses released per day. A very high number, especially considering that this moving average 14 days ago was at 4,192 – that is, in two weeks there was a 254.87% increase in the moving average of new Covid-19 cases.
Gradually, the higher number of infections was also reflected in the moving average of deaths. On the 21st, with 33 deaths recorded over seven days, Paraná had a moving average of 4.71 daily SARS-CoV-2 deaths. Two weeks ago, that number was 50% lower at 3.14.
It is possible to check, therefore, the trend towards a deterioration in the health situation, both with regard to pollutants and with regard to mortality, bearing in mind that differences of up to 15% (above or less) would indicate stability in the scenario, while That values above this indicate a deterioration of the trend in the indicators and lower values, the trend of improvement.
symptoms
Prioritize solitude
The Municipal Health Department of Curitiba advises people with mild symptoms to isolate themselves immediately and, if necessary, to contact, as a matter of priority, telehealth centers (tele-consultation, video-consultation) to which they can access (public or private). Curitiba provides service via Central 3350-9000 daily from 8 am to 8 pm.
The SMS confirms that residents should not travel to UPAs in cases of mild symptoms, with remote services being prioritized.
UPAs aim to take care of urgent and emergency health conditions, those conditions that cannot wait, and that endanger the patient’s life or exacerbate the health condition.
The recommendation is that before leaving home in search of the services of SUS Curitibano, the citizen checks where the service he is looking for is provided.
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