Week 1 of the NFL season got off to a sluggish and messy start, leaving many fans and bettors disappointed. In a surprising turn of events, 10 underdogs managed to win against the spread, leaving bettors scratching their heads.
One handicapper, who goes by the name of the author, expressed frustration at not being able to capitalize on this chaos. Their handicapping ethos revolves around betting on underdogs, and this kind of week seemed tailor-made for their strategy. However, luck was not on their side.
Despite the disappointment, the author remains optimistic and reminds readers that it’s a long season. They are already looking ahead to Week 2 with the hope of better results.
For their Week 2 picks, the author starts with the Seattle Seahawks, who are playing against the Detroit Lions. The Seahawks, despite a poor performance against the Rams in Week 1, are still considered a strong team. The author believes that their offensive line issues can be addressed and sees this as a buy-low opportunity.
The second pick is the Kansas City Chiefs, who will be facing the Jacksonville Jaguars. The author acknowledges that this pick may be seen as “square,” but they have faith in Andy Reid’s ability to perform well in partial bye weeks. They also expect the return of key players to help the Chiefs bounce back from their Week 1 loss.
Moving on to the third pick, the author chooses the New York Jets to cover the spread against the Dallas Cowboys. The author highlights the Jets’ strong defense and suggests that Dallas’s impressive performance in Week 1 may have inflated the line. They believe in fading outlier performances and expect a regression to the mean.
Next up is the New England Patriots, who will be facing the Miami Dolphins. The author points out the Patriots’ strong defensive performance against Philadelphia and speculates that their offense could become more competitive under new coach Bill O’Brien. They also note that Tyreek Hill’s past performances against the Patriots have not been dominant, further solidifying their pick.
Last but not least, the author selects the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover the spread against the Cleveland Browns. Despite a loss in Week 1, the author gives the Steelers a mulligan and trusts head coach Mike Tomlin as an underdog, especially at home. They also suggest that Deshaun Watson’s performance in Week 1 may have been influenced by the poor play of the Cincinnati Bengals.
The article concludes with the author mentioning their record from the previous week (2-3) and their historical record/picks log. While Week 1 may have been a disappointment, the author remains confident in their strategies for picking winners in the weeks to come.
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