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Title: The Failure of Diplomacy: A Closer Look at Russia’s Approach in the Ukraine Conflict
Subtitle: Analysts warn of the risks of long-term war and increasing tensions between Russia, NATO, and the use of nuclear weapons
Date: [Insert Date]
In a recent report by BBC News Russia, experts delve into the reasons why diplomacy has failed to put an end to the bloodshed in Ukraine, nearly a year and a half after Russia’s full-scale war began. Analysts and former government employees from both Russia and the United States shed light on the evolving approach of Russian diplomats, who increasingly seek to please President Vladimir Putin as he becomes more convinced of the power of brute force and the irrelevance of diplomacy.
One notable transformation highlighted in the report is that of Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, who used to have a nuanced understanding of the United States and Europe but has changed along with Putin. No top diplomat dares to disagree with the president and still maintain their position. The report emphasizes that the “reset” in Russian-American relations failed due to various factors, including the Arab Spring, US intervention in Libya, and the protests in Russia during 2011-2012.
The language employed by Russian ambassadors and Foreign Ministry employees has undergone a notable change, becoming more confrontational and echoing Putin’s belief that diplomats are expendable as he believes he possesses all necessary knowledge. The commencement of the Donbas conflict in 2014 further reinforced the understanding in the West that diplomats had no means of influencing events in Ukraine, as Putin single-handedly made all decisions regarding the conflict.
The sources interviewed by the BBC express skepticism about the possibility of diplomacy effectively halting the war, attributing this belief to the significant contradictions between Russia, Ukraine, and the Western powers involved. Furthermore, analysts warn of the potential consequences of a prolonged war, including an increased risk of direct confrontation between Russia and NATO, as well as the potential use of nuclear weapons.
The report reveals President Putin’s preference for intelligence agents and military officers to communicate with their counterparts, rather than relying on traditional diplomats. Despite the dire situation, most diplomats choose to remain in their careers, lacking the courage to take decisive action. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov is described as weary and obstinate, guarding his position without any prospects for change. Some perceive the employees of the Russian Foreign Ministry as “apparatchiks of Putinism,” lacking both ambition and courage.
As the conflict in Ukraine drags on, it is clear that diplomacy has failed to halt the bloodshed. The consequences of this failure extend beyond the immediate region, potentially leading to larger geopolitical tensions and increased risks. The prospects for a resolution appear bleak as long as the entrenched contradictions between Russia, Ukraine, and the West persist. Only time will tell if alternative approaches can be pursued to bring an end to this devastating conflict.
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